The Urban Redevelopment Authority released the February rental data for private residential properties on March 15. Based on data for the first two months of 2016, the median monthly rents for private non-landed homes dipped 5% y-o-y from $3.54 psf in 1Q2015 to $3.37 psf in 1Q2016. Overall, rents have declined about 10% from 3Q2013’s peak.
While the rental woes afflict most properties, at least one segment has outperformed its peers. Recently, integrated developments are back in the spotlight as the launch of Cairnhill Nine drew strong interest from buyers. There is some evidence that these developments have weathered the recent market turmoil better than others. The trend was not as clear when we conducted a similar study last year but became more pronounced recently.
These projects are not necessarily connected to an MRT station and a shopping mall, but they are located within a short walking distance of these amenities. At The Centris, a 610-unit condominium located next to Boon Lay MRT station above Jurong Point, average monthly rents for its three-bedroom units fell just 5% from $3.53 psf in 1H2013’s peak to $3.36 psf in 4Q2015 and 1Q2016. In comparison, the average monthly rents for three-bedroom units at Summerdale, a privatised executive condo located 800m away from the Boon Lay MRT station, dipped 14% from $2.77 psf to $2.37 psf over the same period.
Summerdale was completed in 2000, while The Centris was completed in 2009. There could be age and other factors in play, which the study could not account for. Three-bedroom units were used for comparison as Summerdale does not have two-bedroom units. Jurong Point is one of the largest shopping malls in Singapore, with a total net lettable area of about 750,000 sq ft.
In the eastern region, the average monthly rents for three-bedroom units at Modena declined 7% from $2.76 psf in 1H2013 to $2.57 psf in 4Q2015 and 1Q2016. Completed in 2001, Modena is located across the Simei MRT station and Eastpoint Mall. Meanwhile, at Eastpoint Green, a condo located further away from the Simei MRT station, monthly rents for three-bedroom units fell 14% from $3.07 psf to $2.63 psf over the same period. Eastpoint Green was completed in 1999. The psf rent for Eastpoint Green is higher than that of Modena as the units are smaller.
Even at Savannah Condopark, a newer development located 1km away from the Simei MRT station, monthly rents for three-bedroom units fell 15% over both periods. Three-bedroom units were used for comparison as there were limited rental contracts for two-bedroom units at Modena.
Over at Ang Mo Kio, monthly rents for two-bedroom units at Centro Residences fell 4% from $4.23 psf in 2H2014 to $4.04 psf in 4Q2015 and 1Q2016. The condo was completed in 2014 and is located next to the Ang Mo Kio MRT station and AMK Hub. Some 800m away, monthly rents for two-bedroom units at Grandeur 8 fell 9% from $3.16 psf to $2.88 psf over the same period.
The difference in rental performance is not as pronounced in central locations, where residents are less dependent on public transport and may trade convenience for other attributes such as a tranquil neighbourhood or development concepts.
At Meraprime, rents for three-bedroom units fell 7% from $5.04 psf to $4.70 psf. The project is located behind Tiong Bahru Plaza and the Tiong Bahru MRT station. Meanwhile, rents for three-bedroom units at Domain 21, which is located some 700m away from the Tiong Bahru MRT station, fell about 9%.
Among the projects surveyed, City Square Residences was the only development that bucked the trend. The project is located next to City Square Mall, which is connected to the Farrer Park MRT station. However, rents for its two-bedroom units dived 15% from $4.88 psf in 1H2013 to $4.14 psf in 4Q2015 and 1Q2016. At Kerrisdale, which is about 600m away from the Farrer Park MRT station, rents for its two-bedroom units fell by a smaller pace of 11% over the same period.
In 4Q2015, the stock of vacant private non-landed homes hit an all-time high of 23,964 units. With more supply coming on stream, transit-oriented developments will be the safest bet for investors.
Rents for three-bedroom units at The Centris fell 5%, while those at Summerdale dipped 14% in the review period
This article appeared in The Edge Property Pullout, Issue 721 (March 28, 2016) of The Edge Singapore.